Washington State — 2026 schedule & results record 1-7 · model's picks 3-5 so far
Proj rating 7.2 · SOS -0.9 · Mean wins 7.0 · Picked 8-3 · Vegas 5.5
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Line / ATS | Model | Win prob | Pick | My bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sun 09/06 | Washington | away | L 10–24 | +23.25 ✓ | -9.0 | 31% | L ✓ |
Washington State +23.5 · WIN +38 |
| 2 | Sat 09/12 | Kansas State | away | L 7–34 | +17.75 ✗ | -2.2 | 45% | L ✓ | |
| 3 | Sat 09/19 | Duquesne | home | W 48–7 | -38.5 ✓ | +37.6 | 99% | W ✓ | |
| 4 | Sat 09/26 | Arizona | home | L 24–34 | +11.75 ✓ | +1.4 | 53% | W ✗ | |
| 5 | Sat 10/03 | Fresno State | home | L 6–26 | -2.25 ✗ | +10.9 | 73% | W ✗ |
Washington State -1.5 · LOSS -30 |
| 6 | Fri 10/09 | Utah State | away | L 16–17 | +4 ✓ | +7.1 | 66% | W ✗ |
Utah State -5 · LOSS -20 Washington State +5 · WIN +45 |
| 7 | Sat 10/17 | Oregon State | away | L 30–48 | +18.5 ✓ | +9.4 | 71% | W ✗ |
Washington State +18.5 · WIN +18 |
| 8 | Sat 10/24 | Boise State | home | L 10–31 | +14.75 ✗ | +6.5 | 65% | W ✗ | |
| 9 | Sat 10/31 | San Diego State | away | — | +2.5 | -2.1 | 45% | L | |
| 11 | Sat 11/14 | Colorado State | home | — | — | +20.7 | 89% | W | |
| 12 | Sat 11/21 | Texas State | away | — | — | +3.2 | 58% | W |
Picked counts every game the model favors as a win. Mean wins is the average over 10,000 simulated seasons — a team favored 60/40 in five games wins about three of them, not five, which is why Picked runs higher than Mean wins for good teams (and lower for bad ones). Compare Mean wins to Vegas; use this page to see where the wins come from.